Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 4.231764 4.543007 4.877016 5.264038 5.702601 6.187099 6.766958
2025-08-10 3.668787 4.086015 4.561787 5.151591 5.873480 6.742628 7.891566
2025-08-17 3.302474 3.763361 4.309629 5.017840 5.932272 7.104729 8.779399
2025-08-24 3.061113 3.549835 4.146661 4.948479 6.030347 7.494292 9.736587
2025-08-31 2.919013 3.438481 4.090266 4.995380 6.269115 8.087363 11.082714
2025-09-07 2.788582 3.327561 4.019265 5.007274 6.449814 8.611219 12.427207
2025-09-14 2.612866 3.144191 3.836235 4.843467 6.351380 8.688585 13.028514
2025-09-21 2.481162 3.009806 3.708233 4.743544 6.332482 8.881401 13.872230
2025-09-28 2.380078 2.909736 3.619274 4.690219 6.375300 9.175502 14.976867
2025-10-05 2.305100 2.840317 3.567477 4.685617 6.491452 9.608082 16.485456
2025-10-12 2.264528 2.815252 3.575584 4.770096 6.759399 10.353520 18.945613
2025-10-19 2.223587 2.786939 3.576283 4.841494 7.011075 11.111194 21.761610
2025-10-26 2.160256 2.726056 3.528752 4.837544 7.139568 11.668176 24.388970
2025-11-02 2.077706 2.634444 3.431241 4.746332 7.102274 11.876621 26.125779
2025-11-09 1.994702 2.538732 3.322756 4.629365 7.004935 11.937582 27.437996
2025-11-16 1.931662 2.469461 3.250905 4.568389 7.006854 12.223851 29.735274
2025-11-23 1.897872 2.441405 3.240351 4.609652 7.209905 13.023778 34.651448
2025-11-30 1.859064 2.404176 3.213391 4.620111 7.352280 13.708984 39.822695
2025-12-07 1.787449 2.315578 3.102133 4.475901 7.164242 13.504210 40.485607
2025-12-14 1.732306 2.250014 3.024831 4.387755 7.085652 13.582200 42.825303
2025-12-21 1.689384 2.201394 2.972369 4.340660 7.088692 13.885258 46.866819
2025-12-28 1.658022 2.169208 2.944776 4.336593 7.183416 14.470791 53.657244
2026-01-04 1.644636 2.163801 2.959881 4.411191 7.458781 15.667574 67.788765